by Suff » 02 Apr 2013, 19:04
It did occur to me that governments might use this tech and whilst it was only within the purview of governments (has been for 3-4 years), it was not really available to companies smaller than medium sized states in revenue.
However this change in capability is almost overdue. Changes in CGI hardware are exponential. I bought my laptop with two of the fastest graphics cards (mobile), on the market at the time. Today the third fastest single mobile card is faster than the TWO I bought only 17 months ago. Certainly processors are not changing that fast, the next generation of processors in the line I bought are only 9% faster over the same time span.....
Certainly the big difference is "real time". This comes in several parts. To do real time, they not only need fast graphics, processors and memory, they need exceptionally fast disk and database access. This has been the preserve of huge monolithic infrastructures costing tens if not hundreds of millions to build. These last 3 years have changed the disk access even more dramatically than the CGI world. SSD (solid state drives or flash/memory drives), speeds have increased massively. Whilst the graphics card increase of 100% I saw was dramatic, hard drive access speeds have increased by up to 2000%. Also the ability to put these massively faster drives into large arrays has also grown. Literally, drive throughput has increased from tens of megabytes per second to tens of gigabytes per second.
This is incredibly important in impersonating someone. The software has to use a library of words, context and known mannerisms and expressions to fake authenticity. Until two years ago this was simply too much data to be available instantly for real time use.
I can't see an end to this curve. Within my lifetime it will be possible to render a person, in image, fully in life size 3d so that the image can hold a conversation with you and you will not be able to tell the difference between the image and the real person.
Add to the fact that this technology is shrinking daily and you wind up with the final part of the circle. Robotics and andorids. It is going to be a different world our Grandchildren live in. Hopefully it will also be a safe world. But I'm not too hopeful.
There are 10 types of people in the world:
Those who understand Binary and those who do not.